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No one has a crystal ball, but some people have more experience reading tea leaves than others. As we ring in the new year, let’s see how close I come with my 2019 ARM industry predictions.

#1 – Consumer debt will continue to rise during the first quarter as the U.S. slips into a recession. Many believe the Fed will be forced to halt any rate hikes and could even lower interest rates to stop the recession. ARM professionals should brace themselves for increased charge offs and in turn increased inventory of debt less than 36 months old.

#2 – The flood of new debt will support current collection agency business valuations and possibly drive sale prices even higher.

#3 – Equity investors representing completely new markets will find a new interest in the accounts receivable management industry. Telcom, cable and EBOs may all find collection agencies to be a perfect complement to their current business.

#4 – Agency valuations will hold at all time high levels through Q2. The collections industry is, by definition, a responsive industry. It reacts to changes in the credit cycle and is typically the last segment of the credit cycle to suffer the impact of a recession.

#5 – The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB), enjoying the fall back to its original name, will publish the new, proposed rules for debt collection. This will trigger a compliance scramble much like we experienced when the CFPB launched its Larger Market Participant collection agency, debt buyer and collection law firm examination program in 2012.

#6 – Robocalling restrictions imposed by the Federal Communications Commission (FCC), and the marketplace’s corresponding response with new, robust consumer call access controls will make text messaging programs the #1 contact system of choice for debt collection purposes.

#7 – Payment portals will explode, as will the law suits claiming noncompliance with the Americans with Disabilities Act (ADA), Fair Debt Collection Practices Act (FDCPA), and Electronic Funds Transfer Act (EFTA). Small fonts, pictures without captions, unauthorized disclosures of a debt, improper disclosures of fees, and payments will all drive portal litigation.

#8 – Data privacy statutes will become the collection industry’s new Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act (HIPAA). Just as HIPAA turned agencies and their clients’ upside down and inside out about privacy and security responsibilities in 2003, so too will new state and Federal laws regarding data privacy impact how consumer data is collected, stored, shared and sold. This means the reckless, cross pollination of consumer data, including demographic data among and between accounts and creditors, will come to a screeching halt.

#9 – Maxine Waters (D – CA), Chair of the House Financial Service Committee, will not rock the boat. Armed with subpoena power, Waters is more likely to launch investigations into banking, lending and payday loan practices rather than drive a legislative agenda that has no hope of passage. She is no stranger to the Committee however, and this may just be the calm before the storm.

There is no formula to help us predict events. There is no fairy dust to help us see into the future. But educated guesses about how economic, political and societal pressures will impact the credit and collections industry are possible. Use these nine predictions to stimulate thoughts and discussion about your 2019 business strategy, collections strategy and market position. Happy New Year!

Disclaimer: Ontario Systems is a technology company and provides this blog article solely for general informational and marketing purposes. You should not rely on the content of this material for any other purpose or as specific guidance for your company. Ontario Systems’ advice, services, tools and products described herein do not guarantee compliance with any law or industry standard. You are ultimately responsible for your own company’s actions and compliance efforts. Because everyone’s situation is different, you must consult your own attorneys, accountants, and/or other advisors to obtain specific advice on your company’s compliance, legal, tax, regulatory and/or other business needs. Despite Ontario Systems’ efforts to provide current and up-to-date information, you need to recognize that the information contained herein may become outdated quickly and may contain errors and/or other inaccuracies.

 

© 2019 Ontario Systems, LLC. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is subject to change. Reproduction of this publication is not permitted without the express permission of Ontario Systems, LLC.

Ask the Attorneys Part 2: More Answers About the CFPB New Rules

Ask the Attorneys Part 2: More Answers About the CFPB New Rules

During this 90-minute session, Rozanne Andersen and co-presenter John Bedard, attorney at Bedard Law Group, P.C. will provide practical answers to your questions about the CFPB final rules. They will also address some of the erroneous claims and tips that are putting ARM agencies at risk.

Ask the Attorneys: Your CFPB Compliance Questions Answered

Ask the Attorneys: Your CFPB Compliance Questions Answered

During this 60-minute webinar session, Rozanne Andersen and co-presenter John Bedard, attorney at Bedard Law Group, P.C. will recap the content presented in “Rozanne on Demand” videos 1-3 and provide practical answers to your questions about the CFPB final rules.

Posted by Rozanne Andersen

Rozanne Andersen serves as Ontario Systems’ Vice President and Chief Compliance Officer. She is a licensed attorney and 30+ year veteran and advocate of the banking, credit, and collection industries. She presently leads Ontario Systems’ compliance software design initiatives, directs the company’s corporate CFPB compliance efforts, functions as a thought leader for the industry, and leads the company’s product development initiatives to support compliance with consumer financial laws and regulations. In 2020, Rozanne received an international Compliance Officer of the Year award from Women in Compliance. As former general counsel, director of government affairs, and CEO of ACA, Rozanne is thrilled to combine her legal and government affairs work with her new legal specialty, compliance technology innovation. Rozanne can be reached at Rozanne.andersen@ontariosystems.com.
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